Case Opening Simulator

Made by Hexay

The St. Marc Collection

Expected Value: $24.99

Net Expected Value: $-6.01

Total Items: 18

Not profitable in the long run

Items by Rarity

Gray (5 items, 79.87% chance, avg. $5.52, contributes $4.41 [17.6% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MAC-10 Surfwood	$4.08	15.974%	$0.65 [2.6%]
Sawed-Off Jungle Thicket	$4.15	15.974%	$0.66 [2.7%]
MP5-SD Bamboo Garden	$4.35	15.974%	$0.69 [2.8%]
PP-Bizon Seabird	$4.18	15.974%	$0.67 [2.7%]
M249 Jungle	$10.82	15.974%	$1.73 [6.9%]

LightBlue (4 items, 15.97% chance, avg. $27.84, contributes $4.45 [17.8% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
P90 Sunset Lily	$28.20	3.994%	$1.13 [4.5%]
Tec-9 Rust Leaf	$27.68	3.994%	$1.11 [4.4%]
XM1014 Banana Leaf	$27.14	3.994%	$1.08 [4.3%]
M4A4 Dark Blossom	$28.33	3.994%	$1.13 [4.5%]

Blue (4 items, 3.33% chance, avg. $137.10, contributes $4.56 [18.2% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP7 Teal Blossom	$131.55	0.832%	$1.09 [4.4%]
Five-SeveN Crimson Blossom	$138.50	0.832%	$1.15 [4.6%]
FAMAS Sundown	$136.11	0.832%	$1.13 [4.5%]
UMP-45 Day Lily	$142.26	0.832%	$1.18 [4.7%]

Purple (3 items, 0.67% chance, avg. $490.99, contributes $3.27 [13.1% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
SSG 08 Sea Calico	$480.18	0.222%	$1.07 [4.3%]
Glock-18 Synth Leaf	$426.03	0.222%	$0.95 [3.8%]
AUG Midnight Lily	$566.76	0.222%	$1.26 [5.0%]

Pink (1 items, 0.13% chance, avg. $2939.40, contributes $3.91 [15.6% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
MP9 Wild Lily	$2939.40	0.133%	$3.91 [15.6%]

Red (1 items, 0.03% chance, avg. $16277.02, contributes $4.39 [17.6% of EV])

Item Name	Value	Drop Chance	EV Contribution
AK-47 Wild Lotus	$16277.02	0.027%	$4.39 [17.6%]

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